Trying to understand Santa Hurt post about leveraged ETFs[Eng-Spn]

Trying to Understand Papa Noé Hurt's Post on Leveraged ETFs

What was going to be a response to Santa Hurt post ended up becoming my own post because I had to do some research on Google, in addition to reviewing some concepts I had seen in class.

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First, I researched what ETFs are and asked Gemini's AI to explain them to me in simple terms because, being inexperienced in the subject, it was a bit complicated for me, but after researching it, it's become a little clearer, although I still have some questions.

ETF

An ETF is a "package" of investments that can be bought and sold on the stock exchange like individual stocks. I imagined it this way: Imagine we want to eat fruit. Instead of buying a whole watermelon, a papaya, and a kilo of each fruit, we can order a tray with several pieces. If the price of watermelon goes up, our tray costs a little more. If some fruit spoils, we don't lose all our money because the others make up for it. Up to this point, I understood perfectly. It's like having only a small part of something instead of the whole.

Now let's see what leveraged ETFs are.

It's as if the fund lends you money to multiply your bet. If the market goes up, you celebrate three times as much; but if it goes down, the loss triples.

What we must keep in mind here, if I'm not mistaken, is that this "loan" isn't free: the fund charges daily interest. Therefore, if the market goes up and down without a clear direction, you end up losing money even if the final price remains the same. It's a tool for getting in and out quickly, not for waiting patiently like with traditional savings. This has its advantages and disadvantages. The main advantage is the multiplier effect: if the market moves strongly in your favor in a single day, you earn three times more than with a normal investment. The disadvantage is that you will have lost money simply because losses multiply as quickly as gains.

This is clear to me, and I understand something very important: if you're going to trade this way, you have to enter and exit quickly and, of course, understand the risks. From my point of view, it has to be a very well-studied action that takes the time factor into account. It's like when you're playing a game of chance; you have to carefully study the movements that are going to happen so you don't get stuck with the money and lose, haha, that's the closest I can think of. In other words, you have to know when to withdraw.

As for why many people use this type of trading, it's to obtain quick profits without having to wait so long. I also understand this.

Regarding the question I asked the user of the post about why not buy BTC directly? And given your response, I understand the fear many users have of losing their passwords. In fact, I've felt it myself with my Hive account, and it can worry anyone, especially those with a large cryptocurrency investment. I remembered recently reading the story of James Howells, the man who threw away an old hard drive containing 8,000 Bitcoins he had mined almost for fun. This is truly terrifying. To think that 8,000 Bitcoins are in a trash can is unbelievable.

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And regarding trust in governments, in my Venezuelan history class we studied a case from 1994 in which a financial institution called Banco Latino and 16 other institutions went bankrupt. Although the government tried to help, many people lost everything or took years to recover their savings, and others were never able to recover them. It was a terrible situation. I imagine that things like that are less likely to happen with cryptocurrencies. Although there is also the fear of government intervention. While I've read about cases where the government has confiscated users' savings, I think it's a bit more difficult with cryptocurrencies, since they can't take your keys unless you lose your hard drive, as happened to James Howells, or unless you hand over your keys.

That confiscation scenario is the biggest fear, but what's interesting about Bitcoin is that, unlike what happened with the savings at Banco Latino in '94, a government can't simply push a button and keep your coins if you're the only one who has the keys. They would have to force you to hand them over, and that's where cold storage becomes an advantage.

By the way, I also had to research what cold storage is, and I learned that it has its advantages because it's the most secure way to store cryptocurrencies, since it involves keeping private keys completely disconnected from the network. This is something many of us should implement to prevent cloud theft or loss of access due to any digital vulnerability.

I'm surprised how reading one post opened my eyes to understanding other things. It's very interesting to learn these terms and especially to understand what people are talking about in the comments.

Thanks for reading my post, guys. Take care, be good, and see you in the next post.

🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅

I used Gemini to understand the definition of some terms, but the post is 90% original and in my own words.
Images from Papa Noé Hurt's post and edited in Gemini.
I used Google Translate.

Español

Lo que iba a ser una respuesta a la publicación de Santa Hurt, decidí convertirlo en una publicación propia porque tuve que investigar en Google , además de repasar algunos conceptos que había visto en clase.

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Primero, investigué qué son los ETF y le pedí a la IA de Gemini que me los explicara en términos sencillos porque para mí que soy inexperta en el asunto se me complicó un poco pero investigando me ha quedado un poco más claro, por supuesto aún tengo algunas dudas.

ETF

Es Un "paquete" de inversiones que se puede comprar y vender en la bolsa como si fueran acciones individuales. Yo me lo imaginé de esta forma sencilla: Imaginemos que queremos comer fruta. En lugar de comprar una sandía entera, una papaya y un kilo de cada fruta, podemos pedir una bandeja con varias piezas. Si el precio de la sandía sube, nuestra bandeja cuesta un poco más. Si alguna fruta se echa a perder, no perdemos todo nuestro dinero porque las demás lo compensan. Hasta aquí, lo entendí perfectamente. Es como en vez de tener la totalidad de algo solo tenemos una pequeña parte.

Ahora veamos qué son los ETF apalancados.

Es como si el fondo te prestara dinero para multiplicar tu apuesta. Si el mercado sube, celebras el triple; pero si baja, la pérdida se triplica.

Lo que debemos tener en cuenta aquí, sino me equivoco, es que este "préstamo" no es gratuito: el fondo cobra intereses diarios. Por lo tanto, si el mercado sube y baja sin una dirección clara, terminas perdiendo dinero aunque el precio final se mantenga igual. Es una herramienta para entrar y salir rápidamente, no para esperar pacientemente como con los ahorros tradicionales. Esto tiene sus ventajas y desventajas. La principal ventaja es el efecto multiplicador: si el mercado se mueve con fuerza a tu favor en un solo día, ganas tres veces más que con una inversión normal. La desventaja es que habrás perdido dinero simplemente porque las pérdidas se multiplican tan rápido como las ganancias.

Esto me queda claro, y entiendo algo muy importante: si vas a operar de esta manera, tienes que entrar y salir rápidamente y, por supuesto, comprender los riesgos. Tiene que ser desde mi punto de vista una acción muy estudiada y que tenga en cuenta el factor tiempo. Es cuando estamos jugando la papa se quema tienes que estudiar bien los movimientos que se van a dar para que no te quedes con la papa y pierdas, jejejj es lo más parecido que se me ocurre. Es decir, tienes que saber retirarte a tiempo.

En cuanto a por qué mucha gente usa este tipo de trading, es para obtener ganancias rápidas sin tener que esperar tanto. También comprendí esto,

Respecto a la pregunta que le hice al usuario de la publicación sobre por qué no comprar BTC directamente? y su respuesta dada, entiendo el miedo de muchos usuarios a perder las contraseñas. De hecho, yo mismo lo he sentido con mi cuenta de Hive, y puede preocupar a cualquiera, especialmente a quienes tienen una gran inversión en criptomonedas. Recordé haber leído recientemente la historia de James Howells, el hombre que tiró un disco duro viejo con 8000 Bitcoins que había minado casi por diversión. Esto es realmente aterrador. Pensar que hay 8000 Bitcoins en un cubo de basura es increíble.

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Y en cuanto a la confianza en los gobiernos, en mi clase de historia venezolana estudiamos un caso de 1994 en el que una institución financiera llamada Banco Latino y otras 16 instituciones quebraron. Aunque el gobierno intentó ayudar, muchas personas lo perdieron todo o tardaron años en recuperar sus ahorros, y otras nunca pudieron recuperarlos. Fue una situación terrible. Imagino que es menos probable que ocurran cosas así con las criptomonedas. Aunque también existe el temor a la intervención gubernamental. Si bien he leído casos en los que el gobierno ha confiscado los ahorros de los usuarios, creo que es un poco más difícil con las criptomonedas, ya que no pueden quitarte las claves a menos que pierdas tu disco duro, como le sucedió a James Howells, o que entregues tus claves.

Ese escenario de confiscación es el mayor temor, pero lo interesante de Bitcoin es que a diferencia de lo que pasó con los ahorros en el Banco Latino en el 94, un gobierno no puede simplemente presionar un botón y quedarse con tus monedas si tú eres el único que posee las claves. Tendrían que obligarte a entregarlas, y ahí es donde el almacenamiento en frío se convierte en una ventaja.

Por cierto, también tuve que investigar qué es el almacenamiento en frío y aprendí que tiene sus ventajas porque es la forma más segura de almacenar criptomonedas, ya que implica mantener las claves privadas completamente desconectadas de la red. Esto es algo que muchos deberíamos implementar para evitar el robo en la nube o la pérdida de acceso debido a cualquier vulnerabilidad digital.

Me sorprende como la lectura de un post me abrió las puertas a entender otras cosas, es muy interesante aprender estos términos y sobre todo entender de que hablan en los comentarios.

Gracias por leer mi post chicos, cuídense, pórtense bonito y nos vemos en una proxima publicación.

🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅🎅

He utilizado Géminis para comprender la definición de algunos términos pero el post es 90% original y con mis propias palabras.
Imágenes del post de Papá Noé Hurt y editadas en Geminis
He utilizado Google Traductor

Posted Using INLEO



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24 comments
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Santa Hurt, very nice one, Angel. 😅👍🏻🎅🏻

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He's Evil Santa, he gives away downvotes.

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(Edited)

LOL!

To be fair, Santa does give coal for Christmas sometimes. 😅

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The real Santa Claus is watching you.

untitled.gif

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jjjjeeeeee buen gift jjjeee 😅

Carbon, what a disappointment.

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This is getting more and more intense. The only thing I understood was the bit about the fruits, and it reminded me of those bags of peanuts, almonds, and walnuts they sell, which have a little bit of everything... hehe. I mean, if those fruits were stocks, I'd have a little bit of each type of stock. They'd be ETFs, and if I traded them on the stock exchange, I could win or lose every day... hehe. That's what I managed to understand...
!ALIVE
!LADY

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Very well explained. In the case of a cold wallet, the best thing to do is divide the recovery phrase into two parts on paper and have someone keep at least one half, and not live at the same address. Ideally, each half should be kept by a different person.

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nice blog and thanks for sharing. I just wonder a thing regarding matter in leverage ETF explanation.

What we must keep in mind here, if I'm not mistaken, is that this "loan" isn't free: the fund charges daily interest. Therefore, if the market goes up and down without a clear direction, you end up losing money even if the final price remains the same. It's a tool for getting in and out quickly, not for waiting patiently like with traditional savings. This has its advantages and disadvantages. The main advantage is the multiplier effect: if the market moves strongly in your favor in a single day, you earn three times more than with a normal investment. The disadvantage is that you will have lost money simply because losses multiply as quickly as gains.

The 3x multiplier is fixed in the gain? please don't see me as a negative person looking for trouble. I am just another guy that still new in this financing world.

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Hi, I'm also learning, and what I've been able to research during my post regarding the question is that the multiplier is fixed daily, but in the long run, the final result can be very different from a simple '3x' due to compound interest and operating costs. That's why, as you mentioned, they are precision tools for quick trades and not so much for 'buy and forget' strategies.
with hReplier

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So it is not a fixed '3x' multiplier.. thanks for clearing

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Excellent post, @angeluxx! I need to review it in detail to fully understand some of the concepts, but I find it interesting to grasp the importance of understanding that when you have your keys, you are the true owner of your assets and it's necessary to safeguard them. I won't forget this. Very good.
!ALIVE
!LADY
!UNI

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Well explained! Thanks for this interesting post.

!PIZZA

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A little bit of everything, hehe. I understand, and from what I see, this leverage is for professionals and those who like to take risks. I prefer to stick with the only investment I have: my small savings in HP.
Excellent post @angeluxx you make it look a little easier

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