RE: Splinterlands | SPS Price Prediction...
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Great analysis, I think you covered all the bases there. Maybe Splinterlands gets lucky and manages to get some new players in with the final year of the current bull cycle and it is enough to get it through the upcoming bear year for bitcoin where ALTs will all be repriced lower. What will happen to Hive during this time could also impact the game.
Although the Concave packs are 1000DEC lower than Rebellion, they are still massively overpriced imo compared to the lack of hype and for non-whale players considering they removed all the leagues. A max level deck under $1k should have been a more realistic target imo to keep Chaos players in modern.
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The pack prices and a lack of easy way for new players to come in is indeed a massive problem still. This while it should be easy to fix if they just take a step away from the extreme pay2win mechanics.
I get it though, as long as existing players are willing to throw money at it to get an edge it's the easy route to take from the devs point of view even though they continue to shout that 'new players are top priority'.
I guess one of the key questions is if existing players are willing to recommend the game to others which for me now is just not the case and I plan to write why exactly next week.
Very true. If some people are prepared to throw $1m at it still, why change anything?! It's working.. 😂