RE: How Many Disappointments Before We Quit?
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I have always thought the whole "Act of God" thing is ridiculous... particularly since actuarial science is entirely numbers based risk assessment... maybe that's why that loophole was created? To allow for an "out" when nothing else could be applied.
You're right about the blame game, though. "Events" simply happen, and they fall along a sort of sine curve of happening to any given person anything from frequently to infrequently. Invariably, there will be somebody at some point who will experience multiple consecutive setbacks, just like others will appear to us to be able to "run between the raindrops," metaphorically speaking. This is only natural, but some folks want to make it personal and ascribe the supernatural to it, whether it's "God," or "curses" or whatever.
My experience has been that much of the time we just need to let it go at "I don't know" because there are so many variables involved in establishing exact causality that not only is the calculation all but impossible, the likelihood that such a set of variables is replicable approaches zero... so "why bother?"
My father was fond of saying that "summer rain is BAD if you are having an outdoor wedding, but GOOD if your vegetable garden is parched and dying... but ultimately it's just water falling from the sky."
There's a science fiction short story by Cixin Liu called "The Mirror" that has a "computer" that can track everything on an atomic level - it is a fascinating exploration of that actuarial science, and how the development of such tech / computational force would change society - perhaps for the better, perhaps for the worse.
Thank you for your reply, it tickled my intellectual fancy on a rainy Sunday morning.